I haven't touched flash in years (well maybe other than deploying a few videos).

More to the point - I can't remember the last time I used a proper flash based website - or even a website with heavy use of smaller flash files (again, other than video sites).

I don't think HTML5 is the flash killer, the way the web has evolved has just required less use of flash - most people use the web to buy stuff, look at stuff and talk about stuff - none of that requires flash.

However - the experience can be enhanced with modern browser features - css3, hml5, latest javascript support/libraries etc..

I've just a built a new site and we've quite heavily used new css3/html features and I can really see the benefit - we've also taken into account users with older browsers of course - they can still use the site.

There wasn't a single instance where we thought we need flash..

Flash still has its place of course but the days of animated flash menus are over.. thank god.