Quote Originally Posted by YBAB View Post
html5 canvas...
That is certainly not a Flash killer. Once people realise how clunky the code and how limited it is, it will stop being something people lust after. It might get better at basic animations, so ad-makers may come to like it more, but otherwise no. Support is still limited browser-wise.

The other thing is, of course that more and more mobile devices are coming out that support SWF, and once again the mac iOS devices are becoming less relevant.

In January 2012, Android held a massive 58.9% of the market (almost twice the share of their nearest competitor iOS at 32.2%). Without Steve Jobs at the helm, I think apple's cutting edge will get a little blunter in the next year or two.

I also expect that there will be a big push by Microsoft to get their Windows8 OS into many more devices in the next year, to lift their current market share from the measly 0.5% they currently have. This just requires more logistic dancing around with tablet and phone manufacturers, and the choreography is complex and takes time to perfect.

Android and Windows still support SWF and the Flash Player, and Adobe seems to be continuing to develop Flash tools, albeit a little slower than in the past.